The World Aflame
George Friedman To read the whole document, the controls for turning pages and zooming in or out are at the bottom left corner above. geopoliticalfutures.com Further Reading:
Special Reports
Luis Maizel’s Monthly Letter: October 7, a Black Day for the World.
I begin this letter differently from those of the past, as I write it saddened and concerned about the problematic global situation, particularly in the Middle East. October 7 will be an unforgettable date along with other tragedies of the past, such as September 11, …
Social and Political Implications of Hurricane Otis
Preliminary Analysis. To read the whole document, the controls for turning pages and zooming in or out are at the bottom left corner above. Further Reading:
IMF World Economic Outlook: Navigating Global Divergences, October 2023.
Global recovery remains slow, with growing regional divergences and little margin for policy error. To read the whole document, the controls for turning pages and zooming in or out are at the bottom left corner above. Further Reading:
International Monetary Fund. Managing Expectations: Inflation and Monetary Policy.
Inflation around the world reached multidecade highs in 2022. While headline inflation has since come down, core measures are proving stickier. The high inflation experience of the last two years could engender persistently high inflation expectations, complicating central banks’ paths to getting inflation back to …
Luis Maizel’s Monthly Letter: Stop the World – I Want to Get Off!
The title of the letter is from a Broadway play many years ago. Many people today feel that everything is terrible, with wars dragging on indefinitely, inept and corrupt governments in most parts of the world, non-existent leadership, and a global economic situation complicated by …
Reducing cartel recruitment is the only way to lower violence in Mexico*.
Rafael Prieto Curiel, Gian Maria Campedelli and Alejandro Hope. Homicides in Latin America are driven by violent cartels. The impact of Mexican cartels is especially far-reaching because they prey upon undocumented migrants along the US-Mexico border, violate human rights, and weaken political and economic institutions. …
Blinken: “The Power and Purpose of American Diplomacy in a New Era”*
What we’re experiencing now is more than a test of the post-Cold War order. It’s the end of it. The influence of non-state actors is growing – from corporations whose resources rival those of national governments to NGOs providing services to hundreds of millions of …
Bard, Google’s AI on Polarization in the U.S.
Google’s Artificial Intelligence model, Bard, released an update and invited some users to test its new features. So, based on the Carnegie Corporation’s concern about Political Polarization in the U.S., which is the new focus of significant research*, we asked Bard what the causes of …
Top 10 Countries By GDP Per Capita, by Region
There are many ways to measure different economies against one another, but comparing countries by GDP per capita remains one of the most tried-and-true methods. GDP per capita attempts to level the playing field by dividing a country’s economic output by its population, effectively giving the average …