Executive Summary
1.- Organized crime intervenes in elections through: i) assassinations, assaults, and threats against public officials and candidates, ii) campaign financing, iii)imposition of candidates, iv) mobilization or inhibition of voting, and v) tampering with votes at polling stations.
2.- Organized crime will intervene (more than ever before) in the 2024 local elections for three reasons: I) a large number of criminal groups involved in armed conflict, ii) the proliferation of illegal markets in addition to drug trafficking, and iii) the largest number in the history of municipal mayorships in dispute.
3.- According to Data Cívica, the number of victims of political electoral violence increased by 235.7% from 2018 to 2023. So far, in 2024, Integralia has registered 32 victims, of which seven are murdered aspiring candidates, totaling eight since the beginning of the electoral process.
4.- The states with the highest risk of organized crime intervention in local elections have: I) accumulation of illegal markets, ii) criminal groups involved in armed conflict, iii) weak rule of law, iv) holding of municipal elections, and v) highly competitive key municipalities for crime.
5.- Six states are identified as being at very high risk: Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, Jalisco, Chiapas, and Morelos, as well as nine entities with high risk: Baja California, Sonora, Chihuahua, Tamaulipas, Zacatecas, Guanajuato, State of Mexico, Tabasco and Veracruz.
To read the whole document, the controls for turning pages and zooming in or out are at the bottom left corner above.
integralia.com.mx
Further Reading: