Luis Maizel’s Monthly Letter: Inflation vs. Unemployment. The Fed’s decision.

The U.S. economy shows signs of growth amid rising unemployment and inflation. The Fed faces pressure to lower interest rates further while managing tariff controversies. Positive trends in home sales and consumer activity contrast with negative sentiments about affordability and confidence. Globally, economic fluctuations persist, impacting trade and investments.

Eurasia Group Top Risks 2026

The year 2026 marks significant geopolitical instability, driven by an unpredictable U.S. political shift and ongoing global conflicts. While some nations, like China and India, bolster their positions, Europe faces heightened challenges. An AI revolution is also underway, complicating governance. The global landscape is turbulent, with lasting implications for future generations.

Venezuela’s Strategic Role in Global Conflicts.

The power of weapons is evident. A country that spends nearly $200 billion annually on defense, invests around $200 million daily, and, at least in theoretical terms, has the best army in the world, should be able to impose its will. Both the United States and Russia boast cutting-edge armed forces, but recent experience has shown that theoretical superiority does not guarantee victory.

The Aftermath of the Berlin Wall—and Mexico’s Missing Lesson.

The fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989 allowed Eastern European nations to reshape their political and economic landscapes. While countries like Poland thrived under effective leadership, Mexico’s current government, lacking opposition and relying on flawed policies, is likely headed for stagnation. This raises concerns about the sustainability of its strategies.

The Art of Listening: A Key to Civic Resolutions

The content explores the importance of listening in personal and societal discourse, citing examples from literature and social media. It critiques the lack of genuine conversation in political debates, where interruptions prevent thoughtful engagement. The piece argues that effective decision-making relies on diverse perspectives and emphasizes the need to revive the art of listening.

The Complex Nature of Democracy: Insights and Quotes

Democracy is a complex concept that varies in interpretation, providing a framework for governance and legitimacy in society. Mexico’s current Morena government has approached democracy in a literal sense, raising concerns about its procedural integrity and the representation of public preferences. The quality of democracy in Latin America remains critically at stake.

Pause.

Michael Ignatieff explores the necessity of promoting trust and overcoming division in diverse societies in “Everyday Virtues.” He emphasizes the importance of a strong societal framework for coexistence, reflecting on global examples. Additionally, innovative publications by various authors and artists celebrate culture and humanity, enriching our understanding of history and the present.

2025: A Year to Remember.

The end of the year reflects a challenging global climate, with wars and economic instability. Trump’s administration has shifted power dynamics in the U.S., sidelining traditional political structures. The upcoming USMCA renegotiation will be crucial for regional economic stability, as issues of leadership ineptitude underline a deeper crisis in democracy and governance.

My Readings in 2025.

In times of upheaval, many books emerge addressing significant geopolitical and historical themes. Noteworthy titles include Hal Brands’ exploration of Eurasian geopolitics and Claudio Lomnitz’s analysis of Mexico’s dual realities. Robert Kaplan’s pessimistic insights mirror the Weimar Republic, highlighting the fragility of democracy, while Timothy W. Ryback details Hitler’s rise without popular support.

The Nobel Prize in Economics is Explained Simply.

Joel Mokyr, Philippe Aghion, and Peter Howitt won the 2025 Nobel Prize in Economics for their contributions to understanding economic growth through “creative destruction.” Their work clarified how innovation transforms markets, enhancing productivity and well-being, while emphasizing the necessity for continuous renewal as a driver of societal advancement and economic resilience.

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