Mexico is experiencing its worst political moment under Sheinbaum’s young administration, with a governance crisis at a boiling point. There are social and criminal uprisings throughout the country. Violence is escalating, and the federal government’s inability to control the situation and to provide peace and tranquility is evident to citizens every day.
Luis Rubio argues that Mexico’s crisis stems from structural weaknesses and decades of mismanagement rather than individual blame. The country faces paralysis and corruption while requiring a shift from blame to reconstruction. It needs a comprehensive vision to build state capacity, confront violence, and foster sustainable collaboration with the U.S.
The Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy report on Mexico Country Outlook 2026, is published by the Center for the United States and Mexico. Experts discuss the opportunities and challenges in Mexico’s political, regulatory, economic, and social environment. It addresses themes, such as the political and diplomatic relationship between Washington, D.C. and Mexico City, the state of politics and democracy in Mexico, shifts in the regulatory environment, pending issues in the legislative and regulatory agenda, the expected performance of the country’s economy, public safety and security, and other relevant social issues.
The document contains various resources related to Mexico’s economic outlook for 2025, highlighting key topics such as gold demand trends, government performance, and significant financial initiatives. These articles address economic challenges and trends, showcasing diverse perspectives on the nation’s fiscal situation and broader economic factors influencing growth and stability.
Between 2018 and September 2025, there have been more than 2,200 attacks on individuals linked to some political process. Eighty percent of these attacks targeted officials, candidates, or aspirants, or, notably, members of security forces assigned at the municipal level.INEGI reports a shortage of police forces in 31 out of 32 states.
Societal discontent is rising globally, with a notable survey indicating no respondents feel better off than a decade ago. In the U.S., a government shutdown disrupts services, and political conflicts hinder citizens’ needs. Various economic conditions unfold worldwide, with mixed reports on growth, investment, and public confidence amid rising debt and challenges in multiple countries.
Reality weighs more heavily on the national mood than the cheerful and optimistic figures on security and violence issued by all Morenista leaders. But today, discredit and social unrest weigh more heavily on Mexican thinking than artificial official optimism. Reality is the crushing blow that kills official credibility.
Blood, but above all, personal will and instinct are powerful magnets. They define who we follow, who convinces us, and who does not suit us. And today, more than ever, Mexico needs to ask itself who it is. To which orbit does it belong, and which world does it want to join?
Claudia Sheinbaum faces an escalating political crisis as López Obrador threatens armed insurrection should she deviate from his ideological framework. Historical parallels with past Mexican presidencies highlight her precarious position. As internal chaos and economic stagnation grow, Sheinbaum struggles to assert authority while balancing national loyalties amid increasing social unrest.
The key to a nation’s progress lies in balancing governmental and market roles, ensuring a capable state that safeguards property rights and functions effectively. Successful examples highlight that while democracy is important, a strong, rule-abiding state is crucial for sustainable growth and prosperity, as evidenced by varied global outcomes.