November 23, 2020
November 3, 2020
Forecasts
Real Clear Politics
The Economist:
Five Thirty Eight 2020
270 to win
One week before, 10/27/2020
https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html
Two Weeks Before, 10/20/2020
The RealClearPolitics poll aggregator indicates that Biden could be reasonably certain right now 216 electoral votes of the 270 he needs to win. That is, it requires adding 54 more votes.
In contrast, Trump only has 125 insured, for now, so he requires adding another 145 votes. 14 states that add 197 electoral votes could still be considered undefined. RealClearPolitics considers that the result of six of them could be decisive: Florida, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, and Arizona. Together they add up to 101 votes, and in them, the average difference in favor of Biden is 4.1 points. Nate Silver’s prediction exercise from FiveThirtyEight indicates an 88 percent chance of Biden’s win versus 12 percent of Trump’s win.
https://www.270towin.com/map-images/consensus-2020-electoral-map-forecast
Maps Post First Debate
Map for September 22, 2020
Map after the Conventions
Map for August 18, 2020
Map for June 30, 2020
