If Maduro Falls, Cuba Will Follow.

Cuban President Díaz-Canel warned of an impending economic crisis, linking it to the US Navy’s seizure of a Venezuelan oil tanker. The two nations share a deeply asymmetrical interdependence; Cuba relies on Venezuela for oil and financial support, while Venezuela benefits from Cuba’s professional services. The anticipated collapse of Maduro could also threaten Cuba’s stability, hinting at a potential political upheaval in the region.

My Readings in 2025.

In times of upheaval, many books emerge addressing significant geopolitical and historical themes. Noteworthy titles include Hal Brands’ exploration of Eurasian geopolitics and Claudio Lomnitz’s analysis of Mexico’s dual realities. Robert Kaplan’s pessimistic insights mirror the Weimar Republic, highlighting the fragility of democracy, while Timothy W. Ryback details Hitler’s rise without popular support.

China vs Mexico: Lessons in Development Models.

The content explores the contrasting development paths of nations like China and Mexico. Dan Wang emphasizes China’s rapid infrastructure advancements, while Carl Frey highlights the need for a balance between centralization and decentralization for effective progress. Both authors argue against blindly imitating successful models without considering local contexts. Mexico’s challenges stem from a lack of this balance.

The Role of Ethics in Global Politics and Human History.

The content discusses the role of ethics in history and modern society, highlighting global challenges such as migration, racial tensions, and governance failures, particularly in the U.S. and Mexico. It emphasizes the need for ethical leadership and cooperation in addressing crises, while critiquing demagoguery and the loss of democratic values.

U.S. National Security Strategy.

This official report of the United States Government outlines the priorities of the Trump administration concerning foreign policy, revealing a shift in its geopolitical strategy and values.

Canada’s Economic Outlook 2026

The Canadian economy is expected to grow slightly over 1% in 2025 and 2026, avoiding recession despite trade uncertainties. Consumer spending and government initiatives support growth, though unemployment may rise initially. Regional economic performances differ, with Atlantic Canada performing well, while Ontario faces significant challenges due to tariffs and real estate corrections.

Global Growth Continues its Descent.

The post discusses ongoing trends in global growth. In addition there are links for multiple articles on geopolitical and economic issues. Key topics include U.S. polarization, organized crime, economic outlooks for Mexico, gold demand trends, governmental effectiveness, and significant initiatives from financial institutions aimed at enhancing resilience in critical sectors.

The Year of War.

ith less than four weeks to go before we bid farewell to 2025—amidst the fury, the din, the missiles, and the drones—it is inevitable that we pause and take stock of how, in our political and social sphere, we will close out the year. Now that the first quarter of the century is over, we understand that we are not living in exceptional circumstances. Each period leading up to the world wars was unique in its time, yet they all shared the same air of menace.

Fantasies of the Past To Justify the Present.

Any analysis of López Obrador’s book “Grandeza” (Greatness) must start from its essentially political and ideological nature, rather than as an academic historical review. It is a text written based on assumptions about the past to explain and defend his vision of the present. López Obrador’s book is a gem for studying how a man imbued with Judeo-Christian values seeks to twist the human experience to fit his very particular vision of the universe and the humanity that inhabits it.

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