On April 14, 2026, the International Monetary Fund released a comprehensive report titled “Global Economy In The Shadow of War,” detailing the current state of the world economy. This report builds on earlier findings published in the advance version. Further related reading materials are also provided.
The International Monetary Fund warns that the global economy is at risk due to the Middle East conflict, projecting growth to slow to 3.1% in 2026 and inflation to rise slightly before declining in 2027. Defense spending booms could stimulate short-term growth but may worsen fiscal deficits and social unrest in the long run.
The Global Economy in a Sticky Spot Global growth is broadly unchanged amid persistent services inflation Global growth is projected to be in line with the April 2024 World Economic Outlook (WEO) forecast, at 3.2 percent in 2024 and 3.3 percent in 2025. Services inflation …
So far, so good… Introduction So far, so good. The world economy appears to be finally leaving behind the legacy of the Covid-19 pandemic and the commodity price shock of the war in Ukraine. The worst fears did not materialise. On balance, globally, inflation is …
Global recovery is steady but slow and differs by region The baseline forecast is for the world economy to continue growing at 3.2 percent during 2024 and 2025, at the same pace as in 2023. A slight acceleration for advanced economies—where growth is expected to …
Global inflation will fall in 2023 and 2024 amid subpar economic growth. Global growth is projected to fall from an estimated 3.4 percent in 2022 to 2.9 percent in 2023, then rise to 3.1 percent in 2024. The forecast for 2023 is 0.2 percentage points …
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